Friday: June Personal Income and Outlays

by Calculated Risk on 7/28/2022 09:01:00 PM

o At 8:30 AM ET, Personal Income and Outlays, June 2022. The consensus is for a 0.5% increase in personal income, and for a 0.9% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index to increase 0.5%. PCE prices are expected to be up 6.6% YoY, and core PCE prices up 4.7% YoY.

o At 9:45 AM, Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for July.

o At 10:00 AM, University of Michigan’s Consumer sentiment index (Final for July). The consensus is for a reading of 51.1.

On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):

Hospitalizations have almost quadrupled from the lows in April 2022.

COVID MetricsNowWeekAgoGoalNew Cases per Day2126,272127,478<=5,0001Hospitalized2?37,06935,500<=3,0001Deaths per Day2364382<=5011my goals to stop daily posts,27-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths? Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.

Average daily deaths bottomed in July 2021 at 214 per day.

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